Broker Check

Portfolio Model Returns Through 2020-01-31

| February 18, 2020

US and Foreign Indexes3 mo1 yr2 yr3 yr5 yr10 yr2018
Stock Markets (72-21-7 US-Foreign-EM)5.0%15.7%3.5%10.2%7.9%9.1%-9.1%
S&P 500 PR6.2%19.3%6.9%12.3%10.1%11.6%-6.2%
Dow Jones Industrial Avg PR4.5%13.0%4.0%12.5%10.5%10.9%-5.6%
MSCI EAFE (foreign stocks)2.0%8.9%-3.8%4.8%2.3%2.8%-16.1%
MSCI EM (emerging mkts stocks)2.0%1.2%-8.0%5.3%2.0%1.3%-16.6%
Barclays Agg Bond (US bonds)1.8%9.6%5.9%4.6%3.0%3.8%0.0%
Citi WGBI nonUSD (foreign bonds)0.2%4.4%0.6%4.4%2.4%1.5%-1.8%
Benchmark Returns4.8%15.3%4.2%9.5%7.4%9.0%-8.3%
Aggressive Models (90% stocks-10% bonds)3 mo1 yr2 yr3 yr5 yr10 yr2018
95 Strategic VI4.6%14.9%6.2%12.1%9.2%10.5%-5.0%
95 Strategic V4.8%13.5%4.9%11.6%9.7%11.2%-6.2%
95 Schwab index 20194.9%16.5%5.8%11.5%9.6%11.0%-6.3%
95 Strategic USA II4.8%18.1%9.1%12.3%10.7%12.8%-2.4%
Confluence Value Opportunities-18.8%
Confluence Equity Income-18.9%
WealthFront 93.5%12.9%2.5%9.5%7.4%8.4%-9.1%
Franklin Mutual Beacon A4.1%14.1%3.5%7.3%7.3%9.5%-8.5%
American Funds Port Ser Growth6.7%16.6%5.1%12.2%10.4%11.7%-6.6%
American Funds Growth+Global6.6%17.1%4.9%12.4%9.8%11.1%-8.0%
Benchmark Returns4.3%14.4%4.5%8.7%6.7%8.1%-6.9%
Aggressive Models (75-25)3 mo1 yr2 yr3 yr5 yr10 yr2018
80 Strategic VI4.2%14.4%6.2%11.0%8.2%9.5%-4.3%
80 Strategic V4.9%13.7%5.4%11.3%9.3%10.7%-5.1%
80 Strategic III3.5%14.7%6.5%9.8%8.3%10.2%-4.5%
80 Schwab index 20194.5%15.5%5.8%10.3%8.4%9.9%-5.3%
Money 753.7%11.2%4.8%8.8%7.9%10.0%-5.0%
T Rowe Price Personal Strategy Growth4.4%14.2%4.8%11.0%8.7%10.7%-6.1%
American Funds Port Ser Gr+Inc5.0%14.4%4.3%9.7%9.7%7.4%-6.0%
Vanguard Target Retirement 2040 Inv4.3%14.8%4.4%10.3%8.4%10.2%-7.3%
Benchmark Returns3.8%13.5%4.9%8.0%6.0%7.3%-5.4%
Moderate Models (60-40)3 mo1 yr2 yr3 yr5 yr10 yr2018
60 Strategic VI3.8%13.3%6.1%9.7%7.3%8.5%-3.5%
60 Strategic V4.2%11.8%5.2%9.5%7.8%9.0%-3.8%
60 Strategic III3.2%13.5%6.1%8.7%7.2%9.1%-4.0%
60 ETF 20203.7%13.6%5.9%9.1%7.1%8.8%-4.2%
Janus Henderson Balanced T5.7%18.6%9.5%12.9%9.3%9.7%0.5%
American Funds Port Ser Moderate Gr+Inc4.0%13.4%4.7%9.0%7.1%8.7%-4.6%
American Funds American Balanced F-14.0%13.5%5.8%9.4%8.3%10.2%-2.8%
Benchmark Returns3.1%12.1%5.0%6.8%5.0%6.0%-3.7%
Moderately Conservative Models (40-60)3 mo1 yr2 yr3 yr5 yr10 yr2018
40 Strategic VI3.4%11.8%5.7%8.0%6.0%7.0%-2.2%
40 Strategic V3.5%10.7%4.8%7.5%6.0%7.3%-3.4%
40 ETF 20203.2%11.6%5.5%7.5%5.8%7.0%-2.4%
T Rowe Price Personal Strategy Income3.1%10.5%4.5%7.5%6.0%7.3%-3.0%
Benchmark Returns2.6%11.0%5.6%5.8%4.0%5.0%-1.7%
Conservative Models (20-80)3 mo1 yr2 yr3 yr5 yr10 yr2018
20 Strategic VI2.5%9.7%5.2%6.0%4.3%5.2%-1.0%
20 Strategic V2.8%9.2%4.8%6.0%4.7%5.9%-1.9%
20 ETF 20202.5%9.5%5.2%5.9%4.3%5.3%-0.6%
Fidelity Advisor Asset Mgr 20%2.5%8.6%4.1%4.9%3.7%4.5%-2.0%
Benchmark Returns1.8%9.3%5.5%4.6%2.9%3.6%0.0%
Very Conservative Models (00-100)3 mo1 yr2 yr3 yr5 yr10 yr2018
00 Strategic VI2.1%8.8%5.1%4.5%3.1%4.0%-0.5%
NOTE 1:  Past performance is no guarantee of specific future results.  This data is presented by Potomac Wealth Strategies, LLC.  This data is from Morningstar and should be accurate, but it has not been independently verified.
NOTE 2:  "Flex", "Strategic", and "Index" models are crafted/run by Potomac Wealth Strategies.  They show history of better returns, lower volatility, or both--or, with the Index models, closer tracking--vs benchmarks and competitors.
NOTE 3:  "XX Schwab index" and "XX Schwab ETF" models are relatively low-cost and tax-efficient portfolios.  They are comprised mostly of index funds or exchange-trade funds available free of transaction charges to my clients at Schwab.  This is what many might recommend due to low-costs and portfolio efficiency.
NOTE 4:  Nothing on this blog post is specific investment advice to any individual or organization.  If the information hereon is of interest to you, please send e-mail to Info@PotomacWealthStrategies.com for a consultation.